Forecast for August 2017 - Boaz Dayan

Monthly Statistical Forecast for August

Warmer than usual considerably

Monthly forecast based on several global climate models.

Here is a three-monthly forecast updated from 17.7.17 according to a variety of models for climate prediction in the world.

The forecast is dynamic because it is based on various climatic models from the US and Europe.

Ensemble forecast - GFS model (forecast for next two weeks update 12.8) + ECWMF forecast monthly

Week1

Temperatures from August 12 to August 20: temperatures are higher than normal at 1-3 degrees in Israel.

Precipitation from 12 August to 20 August: Dry in Israel

Week 2

Temperatures from 20 August to August 27: unusually high temperatures for 2-3 seasons in Israel

Precipitation from August 20 to August 27: Dry in Israel

Week 3

Temperatures from 27 August to 3 September: Temperatures higher than normal at 2 ° C in Israel

Precipitation from August 27 to September 3: Dry in Israel

Week 4

Temperatures from September 3 to September 10: Temperatures higher than average by 2-3 degrees in Israel

Precipitation from September 3 to September 10: Dry in Israel

General Summary of August

Temperatures: slightly warmer than usual at 2-3 degrees in Israel relative to 1981-2000.

Precipitation dry

El Nino

The El Nino forecast for the next two weeks from 12.8.17 to 26.8.17:

Neutral

Forecast for El Niño for the next 3 months August-October:

Neutral, Neutral until January   2018

September 2017:

Temperatures higher than normal at 1.5-1 degrees Celsius in all of Israel in relation to the years 1981-2000

Precipitation dry

October 2017:

Temperatures higher than normal at 1-2 degrees in all of Israel compared to the years 1981-2000

Precipitation dry

November 2017:

Temperatures higher than normal at 1-1.5 degrees Celsius in all of Israel in relation to the years 1981-2000

Precipitation Rainy on the coastal plain, the rest of the country is average-dry.

The next update will be on 12.9.17

Tag: Average temperatures in Israel, Average Rain in Israel, Weather in the coming month in Israel, Monthly forecast in Tel Aviv, Monthly forecast in Jerusalem, Monthly forecast in Haifa, Monthly forecast in Be'er Sheva, summer forecast in Israel, Forecast spring in Israel , Winter Forecast in Israel, Forecast for January in Israel